Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 14.486310 16.877125 19.479965 22.516396 25.953312 29.714620 34.133984
2025-06-22 10.636095 13.948508 17.922516 23.002786 29.281955 36.743049 46.229201
2025-06-29 8.029328 11.598153 16.227305 22.584723 30.988366 41.605468 55.904336
2025-07-06 6.139867 9.659269 14.545562 21.679212 31.653600 44.905640 63.602368
2025-07-13 5.418047 9.141422 14.603586 22.975508 35.207127 52.101077 76.794204
2025-07-20 4.808672 8.651427 14.577890 24.065671 38.475800 59.063448 90.088001
2025-07-27 4.227702 8.087368 14.328277 24.733628 41.112278 65.244886 102.627414
2025-08-03 3.653851 7.425014 13.810834 24.882494 42.912791 70.261736 113.730912
2025-08-10 3.075566 6.646269 12.980463 24.398407 43.625078 73.625344 122.508962
2025-08-17 2.574287 5.915304 12.120874 23.740080 43.947681 76.342920 130.388929
2025-08-24 2.146900 5.246400 11.272056 22.982355 43.995918 78.569877 137.562733
2025-08-31 1.767508 4.600871 10.370302 22.009329 43.553986 79.919364 143.346948
2025-09-07 1.621385 4.462070 10.484984 23.033155 46.885165 88.026207 161.122159
2025-09-14 1.422340 4.168064 10.258568 23.407319 49.137178 94.572768 176.925256
2025-09-21 1.187345 3.730775 9.659309 22.962039 49.816993 98.440533 188.449114
2025-09-28 0.960287 3.252237 8.883291 22.039926 49.471404 100.431391 196.815754
2025-10-05 0.906326 3.230832 9.148668 23.354114 53.612265 110.780599 220.437375
2025-10-12 0.844361 3.171457 9.312849 24.459613 57.416075 120.730811 243.868690
2025-10-19 0.766518 3.044558 9.289893 25.136966 60.389034 129.294672 265.229630
2025-10-26 0.674192 2.846587 9.052920 25.287922 62.262990 135.868267 283.266766
2025-11-02 0.569259 2.574623 8.572549 24.797019 62.709143 139.688055 296.353218
2025-11-09 0.474374 2.305828 8.049811 24.129393 62.694143 142.574220 307.796142
2025-11-16 0.391507 2.051358 7.517304 23.360922 62.368741 144.791902 318.038999